A potent storm system will affect Arkansas this weekend, bringing a chance of severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall to much of the state, according to the National Weather Service in Little Rock.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop and overspread the state on Saturday afternoon and evening.
Some severe thunderstorms are possible, primarily over western and central Arkansas. Any severe storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH, as well as quarter-sized hail (or larger). A few tornadoes will be possible as well.
The highest chance of severe thunderstorms will be over the western third of Arkansas during the afternoon and early evening, as a squall line is expected to form. The threat will shift into central Arkansas during the evening hours.
The tornado threat will be highest during the afternoon and evening hours, especially if any individual thunderstorm cells form ahead of the main line.
Stronger storms will also be efficient rainfall producers. Through the evening and into the overnight hours, as the line moves through central Arkansas, the severe threat will evolve into more of a heavy rain threat. Through Sunday, rainfall amounts of two to three inches are possible from western into central Arkansas. Localized amounts of three inches or higher are certainly not out of the question, and would be most likely over southwest Arkansas. Storms will diminish during the day Sunday.
Next week, we could have a similar forecast around Tuesday, with severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall once again possible.
• Severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday afternoon and evening.
• The severe threat will be highest over western and central Arkansas.
• Stronger storms will be capable of producing damaging winds, though large hail and tornadoes will also be possible.
• The storms will be efficient rainfall producers, with amounts of two to three inches expected, and amounts in excess of three inches possible through Sunday.
• Additional severe weather will be possible early next week.
Meteorologists from all Arkansas National Weather Service forecast offices will continue to monitor this potentially hazardous weather, and we will continue to update and adjust the forecast as necessary. Stay informed by monitoring the latest forecasts and outlooks from your NWS offices.